551.6
Climate & Earth
A warming planet, measured and modelled.
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climate change modeling extreme weather
biodiversity ecosystem climate
551.6
A warming planet, measured and modelled.
Drawer contents
Filled from
Search threads
climate change modeling extreme weather
biodiversity ecosystem climate
Byeong‐Joo Park, Eun‐Seo Lee, Kwangil Cheon
Ecotones are transition zones that integrate environmental gradients and play an important role in biodiversity conservation; however, within the context of South Korea, their ecological functions and spatial characteristics remain insufficiently quantified at the national scale. Scientific evidence is needed to…
Bart Steen, Alejandra Morán-Ordóñez, Antoine Guisan, Gianalberto Losapio
In Switzerland, glaciers are projected to shrink to minimal size by the end of the century. Thus, climate change puts pressure on glacial specialist plant species, as generalist plant species colonise their habitat. As bare areas are revealed by glacier retreat, glacial specialists can likewise shift their…
Gourav Jyoti Kalita, Hidam Kumarjit Singh
Proper short-term forecasting of precipitation is crucial in disaster management and preparedness. Nonetheless, the variability and nonlinearity of precipitation make short-term forecasting challenging for meteorologists. Moreover, capturing temporal dependencies in spatiotemporal data is a challenge in precipitation…
Lysanne Veerle Michels, Lucy Smith, Suzan Ghannam, Charles Gadd + 1 more
Introduction Artificial intelligence (AI) has rapidly advanced as a key analytical tool for processing complex datasets across disciplines, including environmental and health research. Meteorological data is increasingly used to understand and mitigate health risks, often linked to climate change. This rapid review…
Marina Costa Rillo, Lea Möller, Lukas Jonkers, Julian Merder + 1 more
Forecasts of biodiversity responses to climate change often rely on space-for-time substitution, in which spatial biodiversity-climate relationships are used to predict biodiversity change through time. Yet this approach is rarely tested directly because long-term biodiversity time series are scarce. Here, we combine…
Sam Levang, Fran Bartolic, Ty Dickinson, Chase Dwelle + 2 more
Existing machine-learning weather forecasting models rely on predetermined and fixed autoregressive timesteps. The choice of model timestep involves a fundamental trade-off: shorter timesteps (e.g. 1 to 6 hours) finely resolve atmospheric dynamics within the diurnal cycle but increase error accumulation for a given…
Yang Teng, Yueqi Yin, Ying Shen, Yue Sun + 8 more
Rapid climate change poses a severe threat to biodiversity, and phylogenetic diversity-a key metric capturing evolutionary uniqueness and adaptive potential-is critical for conservation. Integrating a well-resolved phylogenetic tree of 424 primate species, we combined spatial analysis and climate risk modeling to…
Arne Buechling, Jung Gun Cho, Jakob Pavlin, Forzia Ibrahim + 1 more
A better understanding factors regulating agricultural production is a research priority, given the pace of environmental change and global human population growth. Fruit orchards may be particularly vulnerable to climate change owing to the strong temperature-dependency of reproduction in temperate trees. In this…
Yichen Zhang, Yixiong Xiao, Congxi Xiao, Jingbo Zhou
High-resolution climate data is crucial for meteorological predictions and for informing decision support across diverse domains. However, the acquisition of such high-resolution climate information is often prohibitively costly, necessitating the development of data-driven meteorological prediction models. These…
Jinyang Dong, Liyan Zhang, Xiaoli Wang, Yanru Zhang + 3 more
Global environmental changes increasingly alter species distributions, yet their effects on plants serving both ecological and economic functions remain inadequately explored. We examined Xanthium strumarium, a species with medicinal and invasive properties, throughout China using integrated approaches: species…
Kelath Murali Manoj, Abhinav Parashar
Biodiversity frequently peaks in fluctuating micro-oxic environments such as marine oxygen minimum zone interfaces, rhizospheric aggregates, sediments, microbial mats, and gut mucus layers. Yet, classical ecological theories do not adequately explain why intermediate oxygen tensions repeatedly favor coexistence and…
Jin Ge, Joran Rolland, John Christos Vassilicos
We investigate the exponential growth of uncertainty energy in 3D Navier-Stokes turbulence, emphasising the intermittent and highly localized amplification/production of uncertainty, a critical factor in understanding the predictability of turbulent systems. From the Navier-Stokes equations one can identify some key…
Simran Tomar, Merja Helena Tölle, K. S. Kanwal, Sunil Puri
Climate change is expected to profoundly influence high-elevation Himalayan ecosystems, where steep environmental gradients and narrow climatic tolerances render alpine plant communities particularly sensitive to environmental changes. Many threatened Himalayan medicinal plants occur near alpine-sub-alpine ecotones…
Titilayo T. Tajudeen, Marcelo Ardon, Mirela Tulbure, Katherine L. Martin
Coastal forests are increasingly threatened by saturated soil and elevated salinity levels resulting from sea level rise, saltwater intrusion, and storm surges. In response to rising salinization and flooding, healthy coastal forests that rely on freshwater (both wetland forests and low-elevation upland forests) are…
Yohei Sawada
Although controlling chaos can be regarded as a form of chaos synchronization, conventional chaos synchronization does not provide a practical framework for controlling high-dimensional open chaotic systems, such as weather. In high-dimensional open environmental systems, it is simply impossible to make the difference…
Bin Hua, Shuang Pang, Ang Li, Zonghao Hu + 15 more
Soil nitrogen-fixing microorganisms naturally fertilize terrestrial ecosystems, but the primary driver of their diversity across the globe and the underlying mechanisms remain unclear. We analyzed the nifH gene in 1257 (1137 publicly available + 120 self-generated) soil metagenomes from 318 terrestrial ecosystems…
Tomoki Sakiyama, Jorge García Molinos
Species in mountain ecosystems often experience upslope distribution shifts in response to climate change. However, elevational range dynamics exhibit substantial complexity around this general trend, with varying magnitude and direction of shifts observed among studies. We tested whether factors other than…
Philip A. White, Henry A. Frye, Jasper A. Slingsby, John A. Silander + 2 more
Generalized dissimilarity models (GDMs) have emerged as a valuable tool for formal statistical analysis of biodiversity. In particular, beta diversity, measured using dissimilarity measures, e.g., the Bray-Curtis dissimilarity in our case, provides a statistical summary of the difference in species composition between…
Xiaojuan Liu, Bingqi Xie, Wei Tu, Yang Wu + 3 more
Title: Summary Global biodiversity is declining at an unprecedented rate under the combined pressures of climate and land-use change, yet their relative contributions and underlying mechanisms remain poorly understood. Here, we developed a filtering-energy-stress framework to characterize multidimensional land-use…
Andrea N. Nebhut, Jeffrey S. Dukes
Coflowering, the temporal overlap in flowering among plant species, can influence plant fitness through its effects on heterospecific pollen transfer and competition for pollinators and resources. This temporal overlap is changing as plant species respond differently to climate change. However, difficulties in…
Matthias Aengenheyster, Christopher David Roberts, Razvan Aguridan, Matthew Griffith + 8 more
This paper describes an ensemble of global atmosphere reference simulations covering the period 1980 to 2023 produced with the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Integrated Forecasting System (IFS). The resulting dataset consists of 6-hourly three-dimensional global outputs from higher- and…
Olivia R. Magaletta, Amely M. Bauer, Yoosook Lee, Panpim Thongspring + 1 more
Invasive mosquito species pose substantial risks to human and animal health. Since 2004, Culex coronator, a mosquito vector species of public health concern, has shown rapid range expansion within the United States, spreading from a historically limited distribution in southern Texas to across the Gulf Coast region and…
So-Kumneth Sim, Philipp Maass
Wind gust forecasting is crucial for mitigating damage to people and property. We define gusts as rapid wind speed changes exceeding application-specific thresholds, and propose forecasting gustiness, that is, the number of gusts per time unit. For the forecasting, we employ a correlation between gustiness and variance…
Blair P. Bentley, Lisa M. Komoroske, Cintia M. Santos, Armando J. B. Santos + 9 more
Anthropogenic climate change is threatening global biodiversity, with sea turtles particularly vulnerable as offspring sex and developmental success are strongly influenced by incubation temperature. Behavioral plasticity, including the seasonal distribution of reproductive output, may provide short-term mechanisms for…