27 papers · ranked by Valyu relevance
Dan Wei, Peida Zhan
The random moderation model (RMM) was developed based on a two-level regression model to cope with heteroscedasticity in moderation analysis, and normal-distributed-based maximum likelihood (NML) estimation was developed to estimate the RMM. To present an alternative to the NML, this article discusses the effectiveness…
Nathaniel J. Linden, Boris Kramer, Padmini Rangamani
Dynamical systems modeling, particularly via systems of ordinary differential equations, has been used to effectively capture the temporal behavior of different biochemical components in signal transduction networks. Despite the recent advances in experimental measurements, including sensor development and ‘-omics’…
Yu Lin Hsu, Chu Chuan Jeng, Pavithra Sripathanallur Murali, Mohammadreza Torkjazi + 3 more
'Mohammadreza Torkjazi' 'J. S. West' 'Michaela Zuber' 'Vadim Sokolov'] This paper presents an overview of some of the concepts of Bayesian Learning. The number of scientific and industrial applications of Bayesian learning has been growing in size rapidly over the last few decades (Damien et al. 2013). This process has…
Ernest Fokoué
This paper seeks to provide a thorough account of the ubiquitous nature of the Bayesian paradigm in modern statistics, data science and artificial intelligence. Once maligned, on the one hand by those who philosophically hated the very idea of subjective probability used in prior specification, and on the other hand…
Erik van Nimwegen
Dual fluorescent reporter constructs, which measure gene expression from two identical promoters within the same cell, allow total gene expression noise to be decomposed into an extrinsic component, roughly associated with cell-to-cell fluctuations in cellular component concentrations, and intrinsic noise, roughly…
Udi Alter, Miranda A. Too, Robert A. Cribbie
Bayesian statistics has gained substantial popularity in the social sciences, particularly in psychology. Despite its growing prominence in the psychological literature, many researchers remain unacquainted with Bayesian methods and their advantages. This tutorial addresses the needs of curious applied psychology…
Colin J. Cotter, Sebastian Reich
This survey paper is written with the intention of giving a mathematical introduction to filtering techniques for intermittent data assimilation, and to survey some recent advances in the field. The paper is divided into three parts. The first part introduces Bayesian statistics and its application to statistical…
Shuji Shinohara, Nobuhito Manome, Kouta Suzuki, Ung-il Chung + 5 more
Bayesian inference is a process of narrowing down hypotheses (causes) to one that best explains observational data (effects). To accurately estimate a cause, a considerable amount of data is required to be observed for as long as possible. However, the object of inference is not always constant. In this case, a method…
Roberto Trotta
These notes aim at presenting an overview of Bayesian statistics, the underlying concepts and application methodology that will be useful to astronomers seeking to analyse and interpret a wide variety of data about the Universe. The level starts from elementary notions, without assuming any previous knowledge of…
Carolina Luque, Juan José Sánchez Sosa
In this manuscript, we discuss the substantial importance of Bayesian reasoning in Social Science research. Particularly, we focus on foundational elements to fit models under the Bayesian paradigm. We aim to offer a frame of reference for a broad audience, not necessarily with specialized knowledge in Bayesian…
Gunther Eysenbach, Jiangtao Luo, Zoltan Dienes, Marcus Bendtsen
The debate on the use and misuse of P values has risen and fallen throughout their almost century-long existence in scientific discovery. Over the past few years, the debate has again received front-page attention, particularly through the public reminder by the American Statistical Association on how P values should…
Zhengxiao Wei, Aijun Yang, Leno Rocha, Michelle F. Miranda + 2 more
'Farouk S. Nathoo' 'Miguel Rubi'] We discuss hypothesis testing and compare different theories in light of observed or experimental data as fundamental endeavors in the sciences. Issues associated with the p-value approach and null hypothesis significance testing are reviewed, and the Bayesian alternative based on the…
Authors not listed
The political, social and economic consequences of climate change drastically influence the requirements of modern energy systems and its components. This includes not only energy production but also concepts and innovations for its storage, especially in magnitudes of gigawatt hours. Carnot batteries, which convert…
Rianne de Heide, Peter D. Grünwald
Recently, optional stopping has been a subject of debate in the Bayesian psychology community. Rouder (Psychonomic Bulletin & Review*21(2), 301-308, [33]) argues that optional stopping is no problem for Bayesians, and even recommends the use of optional stopping in practice, as do (Wagenmakers, Wetzels, Borsboom, van…
Ya’acov Ritov
We argue that the Bayesian paradigm, of a prior which represents the beliefs of the statistician before observing the data, is not feasible in ultra-high dimensional models. We claim that natural priors that represent the a priori beliefs fail in unpredictable ways under values of the parameters that cannot be honestly…
Lucian Chan, Geoffrey Hutchison, Garrett Morris
Generating low-energy molecular conformers is a key task for many areas of computational chemistry, molecular modeling and cheminformatics. Most current conformer generation methods primarily focus on generating geometrically diverse conformers rather than finding the most probable or energetically lowest minima. Here…
Lucian Chan, Geoffrey Hutchison, Garrett Morris
Generating low-energy molecular conformers is a key task for many areas of computational chemistry, molecular modeling and cheminformatics. Most current conformer generation methods primarily focus on generating geometrically diverse conformers rather than finding the most probable or energetically lowest minima. Here…
Joshua M. Rosenberg, Marcus Kubsch, Eric-Jan Wagenmakers, Mine Dogucu
Uncertainty is ubiquitous in science, but scientific knowledge is often represented to the public and in educational contexts as certain and immutable. This contrast can foster distrust when scientific knowledge develops in a way that people perceive as a reversals, as we have observed during the ongoing COVID-19…
Ishita Dasgupta, Eric Schulz, Joshua B. Tenenbaum, Samuel J. Gershman
Bayesian theories of cognition assume that people can integrate probabilities rationally. However, several empirical findings contradict this proposition: human probabilistic inferences are prone to systematic deviations from optimality. Puzzlingly, these deviations sometimes go in opposite directions. Whereas some…
Sanjib Sharma
Markov Chain Monte Carlo based Bayesian data analysis has now become the method of choice for analyzing and interpreting data in almost all disciplines of science. In astronomy, over the last decade, we have also seen a steady increase in the number of papers that employ Monte Carlo based Bayesian analysis. New…
Martin Robinson, Alan Bond, Alexandr Simonov, Jie Zhang + 1 more
Recently, we have introduced the use of techniques drawn from Bayesian statistics to recover kinetic and thermodynamic parameters from voltammetric data, and were able to show that the technique of large amplitude ac voltammetry yielded significantly more accurate parameter values than the equivalent dc approach. In…
Matthew Stephens
I discuss the benefits of looking through the ‘Bayesian lens’ (seeking a Bayesian interpretation of ostensibly non-Bayesian methods), and the dangers of wearing ‘Bayesian blinkers’ (eschewing non-Bayesian methods as a matter of philosophical principle). I hope that the ideas may be useful to scientists trying to…
Jeff S. Wesner, Justin P.F. Pomeranz
Bayesian data analysis is increasingly used in ecology, but prior specification remains focused on choosing non-informative priors (e.g., flat or vague priors). One barrier to choosing more informative priors is that priors must be specified on model parameters (e.g., intercepts, slopes, sigmas), but prior knowledge…
Nickolas Gantzler, Aryan Deshwal, Janardhan Rao Doppa, Cory Simon
Our objective is to search a large candidate set of covalent organic frameworks (COFs) for the one with the largest equilibrium adsorptive selectivity for xenon (Xe) over krypton (Kr) at room temperature. To predict the Xe/Kr selectivity of a COF structure, we have access to two molecular simulation techniques: (1) a…
Robert Arbon, Yanchen Zhu, Antonia S. J. S. Mey
Markov state models (MSM) are a popular statistical method for analyzing the conformational dynamics of proteins, including protein folding. With all statistical and machine learning (ML) models choices must be made about the modeling pipeline that cannot be directly learned from the data. These choices, or…
Sterling Baird, Jason R. Hall, Taylor D. Sparks
Would you rather search for a line inside a cube or a point inside a square? This type of solution degeneracy often exists in physics-based simulations and wet-lab experiments, but constraining these degeneracies is often unsupported or difficult to implement in many optimization packages, requiring additional time and…
Esther Heid, Charles J. McGill, Florence H. Vermeire, William H. Green
Characterizing uncertainty in machine learning models has recently gained interest in the context of machine learning reliability, robustness, safety, and active learning. Here, we separate the total uncertainty into contributions from noise in the data (aleatoric) and shortcomings of the model (epistemic), further…