20 papers · ranked by Valyu relevance
Luke Kemp, Chi Xu, Joanna Depledge, Kristie L. Ebi + 7 more
'Timothy A. Kohler' 'Johan Rockström' 'Marten Scheffer' 'Hans Joachim Schellnhuber' 'Will Steffen' 'Timothy M. Lenton'] Prudent risk management requires consideration of bad-to-worst-case scenarios. Yet, for climate change, such potential futures are poorly understood. Could anthropogenic climate change result in…
Felix J. Formanski, Marcel M. Pein, David D. Loschelder, John-Oliver Engler + 2 more
'John-Oliver Engler' 'Onno Husen' 'Johann M. Majer'] We investigate whether communication strategies that portray climate change as a nonlinear phenomenon provoke increases in laypeople’s climate change risk perceptions. In a high-powered, preregistered online experiment, participants were exposed to linear or…
Simon Dietz, James Rising, Thomas Stoerk, Gernot Wagner
Title: Significance Tipping points in the climate system are one of the principal reasons for concern about climate change. Climate economists have only recently begun incorporating them in economic models. We synthesize this emerging literature and provide unified, geophysically realistic estimates of the economic…
Robert E. Kopp, Rachael Shwom, Gernot Wagner, Jiacan Yuan
- Potential state shifts in climatic and social systems play an important role in estimates of climate damages. - 'Tipping points' as broadly understood involve positive feedbacks and abrupt change, but not all climatic thresholds cause abrupt change. - Some possible climate-economic shocks, whether or not they can be…
Jennifer Sleeman, David Chung, Anand Gnanadesikan, Jay Brett + 9 more
'Yannis Kevrekidis' 'Marisa Hughes' 'Thomas W. N. Haine' 'Marie‐Aude Pradal' 'Renske Gelderloos' 'Chace Ashcraft' 'Caroline Tang' 'Anshu Saksena' 'Lawrence M. White'] We propose a new Tipping Point Generative Adversarial Network (TIP-GAN) for better characterizing potential climate tipping points in Earth system…
Jennifer Sleeman, David Chung, Chace Ashcraft, Jay Brett + 9 more
'Anand Gnanadesikan' 'Yannis Kevrekidis' 'Marisa Hughes' 'Thomas W. N. Haine' 'Marie‐Aude Pradal' 'Renske Gelderloos' 'Caroline Tang' 'Anshu Saksena' 'Lawrence M. White'] We propose a hybrid Artificial Intelligence (AI) climate modeling approach that enables climate modelers in scientific discovery using a…
A. Romanou, G. C. Hegerl, S. I. Seneviratne, B. Abis + 10 more
'A. Conversi' 'A. Landolfi' 'H. Kim' 'P. E. Lerner' 'J. Mekus' 'B. L. Otto-Bliesner' 'F. S. R. Pausata' 'I. Pinto' 'L. Suarez-Guiterrez'] This review article provides a synthesis and perspective on how weather and climate extreme events can play a role in influencing tipping elements and triggering tipping points in…
Paolo Cianconi, Batul Hanife, Francesco Grillo, Kai Zhang + 2 more
'Luigi Janiri' 'Shih-Jen Tsai'] Climate change is one of the biggest challenges of our times. Its impact on human populations is not yet completely understood. Many studies have focused on single aspects with contradictory observations. However, climate change is a complex phenomenon that cannot be adequately addressed…
Stephen P. Keen, Timothy M. Lenton, Antoine Godin, Devrim Yilmaz + 2 more
'Matheus R. Grasselli' 'Timothy J. Garrett'] Economists have predicted that damages from global warming will be as low as 2.1% of global economic production for a 3◦C rise in global average surface temperature, and 7.9% for a 6◦C rise. Such relatively trivial estimates of economic damages—when these economists…
Ricarda Winkelmann, Jonathan F. Donges, E. Keith Smith, Manjana Milkoreit + 6 more
'Manjana Milkoreit' 'Christina Eder' 'Jobst Heitzig' 'Αλεξία Κατσανίδου' 'Marc Wiedermann' 'Nico Wunderling' 'Timothy M. Lenton'] Societal transformations are necessary to address critical global challenges, such as mitigation of anthropogenic climate change and reaching UN sustainable development goals. Recently…
Yongzheng Sun, Jiayi Wang, Man Qi, Guanghui Wen + 3 more
Global warming poses a severe threat to ecosystem resilience and biodiversity, potentially driving species loss, declines in diversity, and ecosystem collapse. Accurately predicting tipping points of ecological resilience under global warming remains a fundamental challenge. Here, we develop a theoretical framework to…
Jiaying Lv, Yifan Gao, Changqing Song, Li Chen + 2 more
'Peichao Gao'] Tipping elements on Earth are components that undergo rapid and irreversible changes when climate change reaches a tipping point. They are highly sensitive to climate variations and serve as early warning signs of global change. Human activities, including global climate pledges, significantly influence…
Chris A. Boulton
The use of climate projections is important in determining Earth's future and our place in it. These projections inform policy, both at the country scale and globally, assisting leaders in their commitment to various pledges of mitigation in an attempt to prevent further climate change in the future and maybe even…
Charles Fletcher, William J Ripple, Thomas Newsome, Phoebe Barnard + 15 more
'Kamanamaikalani Beamer' 'Aishwarya Behl' 'Jay Bowen' 'Michael Cooney' 'Eileen Crist' 'Christopher Field' 'Krista Hiser' 'David M Karl' 'David A King' 'Michael E Mann' 'Davianna P McGregor' 'Camilo Mora' 'Naomi Oreskes' 'Michael Wilson' 'Junguo Liu'] Title: Abstract Human development has ushered in an era of converging…
Subhendu Bhandary, Smita Deb, Partha Sharathi Dutta
The effect of climate warming on species physiological parameters, including growth rate, mortality rate, and handling time, is well established from empirical data. However, with an alarming rise in global temperature more than ever, predicting the interactive influence of these changes on mutualistic communities…
Shujie Chang, Neel P. Le Penru, Robert M. Ewers
Climate change and human activity are eroding tropical rainforest resilience, risking tipping points of mass forest dieback towards savannah-like or treeless states. Here, we extend a close analysis of tipping-point early-warning signals in satellite-sensed vegetation data from the Amazon to Borneo, revealing…
Mathieu Lutier, Andrea Emilie Thorstensen Skari, Helena Reinardy, Heidi Sjursen Konestabo + 2 more
Tipping points govern species distributions, which could be impacted by ocean warming (OW) and sea surface freshening (SSF). Interactions between these stressors may affect tipping points. Also, the accumulation of stress over time (degree day) could condition the reaching of tipping points. Yet, these aspects have…
Santanu Das, Nadav Shnerb, Niv DeMalach
Gradual environmental stress may trigger abrupt tipping points, trapping ecosystems in degraded states that are difficult to reverse. This possibility has strongly influenced ecosystem management, yet empirical evidence for such behavior remains mixed. A major unresolved question is how broadly stochasticity and…
Vasilis Dakos, Blake Matthews, Andrew Hendry, Jonathan Levine + 5 more
There is growing concern over tipping points arising in ecosystems due to the crossing of environmental thresholds. Tipping points lead to strong and possibly irreversible shifts between alternative ecosystem states incurring high societal costs. Traits are central to the feedbacks that maintain alternative ecosystem…
Authors not listed
Time series data of atmospheric CO2 levels is highly autocorrelated with multiple timescale variations. In recent years, the data shows a persistent increase in these levels. To understand this persistence, we use enzyme activity and biological growth as analogous phenomena and draw comparisons with the atmospheric CO2…