15 papers · ranked by Valyu relevance
Steffen Keck, Wenjie Tang
The Benefits of Aggregating Intuitive and Analytical Judgments Authors: ['Steffen Keck' 'Wenjie Tang'] Drawing on dual-process theory, we suggest that the benefits that arise from combining several quantitative individual judgments will be heightened when these judgments are based on different cognitive processes. We…
Maren Mayer, Daniel W. Heck
Sequential collaboration describes the incremental process of contributing to online collaborative projects such as Wikipedia and OpenStreetMap. After a first contributor creates an initial entry, subsequent contributors create a sequential chain by deciding whether to adjust or maintain the latest entry which is…
A. M. Hanea, D. P. Wilkinson, M. McBride, A. Lyon + 13 more
'D. van Ravenzwaaij' 'F. Singleton Thorn' 'C. Gray' 'D. R. Mandel' 'A. Willcox' 'E. Gould' 'E. T. Smith' 'F. Mody' 'M. Bush' 'F. Fidler' 'H. Fraser' 'B. C. Wintle' 'Luca Citi'] Structured protocols offer a transparent and systematic way to elicit and combine/aggregate, probabilistic predictions from multiple experts.…
Rupali S. Wagh, Deepa Anand, Fabrizio Sebastiani
The vast volume of documents available in legal databases demands effective information retrieval approaches which take into consideration the intricacies of the legal domain. Relevant document retrieval is the backbone of the legal domain. The concept of relevance in the legal domain is very complex and multi-faceted.…
Mehdi Moussaïd, Kyanoush Seyed Yahosseini, Alex Mesoudi
In many social systems, groups of individuals can find remarkably efficient solutions to complex cognitive problems, sometimes even outperforming a single expert. The success of the group, however, crucially depends on how the judgments of the group members are aggregated to produce the collective answer. A large…
Igor Douven, Nikolaus Kriegeskorte, Patrick Stinson, Josh Ying
This paper evaluates the performance of different voting and probability aggregation methods using a dataset of 451,200 probability judgments from 376 participants on 1200 general knowledge claims. We investigate the Condorcet Jury Hypothesis, according to which majority voting tends to yield outcomes more accurate…
František Zapletal, Miroslav Hudec, Miloš Švaňa, Radek Němec
Valuable information for decision-making can be obtained by collecting and analyzing opinions from diverse stakeholder or respondent groups, which usually have different backgrounds and are variously affected by the topics under survey. For this to succeed, it is necessary to manage the uncertainty of respondents’…
Feng Liu, Dingyuan Shi, Yunlu Xiao, Tao Zhang + 1 more
Due to the global coverage and real-time access advantages of the Tracking and Data Relay Satellite System (TDRSS), the demonstration platform based on TDRSS can satisfy the new technology verification and demonstration needs of the space information network (evolution from sensorweb). However, the comprehensive…
Xiayu Tong, Zhou-Jing Wang, Jason K. Levy, Peiyong Yu
This article develops a group decision framework with intuitionistic preference relations. An approach is first devised to rectify an inconsistent intuitionistic preference relation to derive an additive consistent one. A new aggregation operator, the so-called induced intuitionistic ordered weighted averaging (IIOWA)…
Ashraf Labib, Salem Chakhar, Lorraine Hope, John Shimell + 1 more
'Mark Malinowski'] Title: Abstract An intelligence information system (IIS) is a particular kind of information systems (IS) devoted to the analysis of intelligence relevant to national security. Professional and military intelligence analysts play a key role in this, but their judgments can be inconsistent, mainly due…
Albert Kutej, Stefan Rass, Rainer W. Alexandrowicz, Rajagopalan Srinivasan
'Rajagopalan Srinivasan'] We compare the traditional risk and opportunity assessment method, which relies on fixed values for impacts (or potentials) and probabilities, with a graphical approach that incorporates the representation of uncertainties. To date, this graphical risk assessment method, in combination with…
Marvin W. Acklin, Joseph P. Velasquez
Forensic psychologists commonly utilize unstructured clinical judgment in aggregating clinical and forensic information in forming opinions. Unstructured clinical judgment is prone to evaluator bias and suboptimal levels of inter-rater reliability. This article proposes Structured Professional Judgment (SPJ) methods as…
Daisuke Hamada, Masataka Nakayama, Jun Saiki
Background The wisdom of crowds and collective decision-making are important tools for integrating information between individuals, which can exceed the capacity of individual judgments. They are based on different forms of information integration. The wisdom of crowds refers to the aggregation of many independent…
Lucas Marin, Aida Valls, David Isern, Antonio Moreno + 1 more
'José M. Merigó'] Linguistic variables are very useful to evaluate alternatives in decision making problems because they provide a vocabulary in natural language rather than numbers. Some aggregation operators for linguistic variables force the use of a symmetric and uniformly distributed set of terms. The need to…
Andrew Gelman, Keith O’Rourke, Carlos Alberto De Bragança Pereira, Paulo Canas Rodrigues + 1 more
'Paulo Canas Rodrigues' 'Mark Andrew Gannon'] Amalgamation of evidence in statistics is conducted in several ways. Within a study, multiple observations are combined by averaging, or as factors in a likelihood or prediction algorithm. In multilevel modeling or Bayesian analysis, population or prior information is…